Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Mali and Uganda.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mali 4-0 South Sudan
Friday, September 8 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, September 8 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 61.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Uganda had a probability of 13.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.35%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.6%), while for a Uganda win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mali in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mali | Draw | Uganda |
61.6% ( -0.16) | 24.9% ( 0.01) | 13.51% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 34.92% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
