World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round

Sep 6, 2021 at 2pm UK

Uganda
0 - 0
Mali

Jjuko (34'), Arnold Okwi (64')
Jjuko (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Uganda and Mali, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Mali had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Mali win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Uganda	Draw	Mali
38.37%	25.67%	35.96%

Both teams to score 55.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.26%

48.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.15%

70.85%

Uganda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.07%

24.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.44%

59.56%

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.72%

26.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.6%

61.39%

Score Analysis

Uganda 38.37%

Mali 35.96%

Draw 25.67%

Uganda	Draw	Mali
1-0 @ 9.1% 2-1 @ 8.45% 2-0 @ 6.32% 3-1 @ 3.91% 3-0 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.02% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.77% Total : 38.37%	1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.55% 2-2 @ 5.65% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 8.76% 1-2 @ 8.13% 0-2 @ 5.85% 1-3 @ 3.62% 0-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.28% Total : 35.96%