World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round

Sep 1, 2021 at 8pm UK

Mali
1 - 0
Rwanda

Traore (19')
Coulibaly (35'), Traore (54')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mukunzi (17')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Second Round clash between Mali and Rwanda.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 48.34%. A win for Rwanda had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Rwanda win was 0-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mali in this match.

Result
Mali	Draw	Rwanda
48.34%	24.32%	27.34%

Both teams to score 56.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.94%

46.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.63%

68.36%

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.86%

19.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.22%

50.78%

Rwanda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.39%

30.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.15%

66.85%

Score Analysis

Mali 48.34%

Rwanda 27.34%

Draw 24.31%

Mali	Draw	Rwanda
1-0 @ 9.69% 2-1 @ 9.48% 2-0 @ 8.01% 3-1 @ 5.23% 3-0 @ 4.41% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 2.16% 4-0 @ 1.83% 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.16% Total : 48.34%	1-1 @ 11.46% 0-0 @ 5.86% 2-2 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.31%	0-1 @ 6.94% 1-2 @ 6.79% 0-2 @ 4.11% 1-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 3% Total : 27.34%