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Mali national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Nov 14, 2021 at 4pm UK
 
Uganda national football team

Mali
1 - 0
Uganda

Coulibaly (18')
Traore (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mugabi (72'), Aucho (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Mali and Uganda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 50.91%. A win for Uganda had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Uganda win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.

Result
MaliDrawUganda
50.91%23.57%25.51%
Both teams to score 56.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.8%44.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.43%66.57%
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.58%17.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.14%47.86%
Uganda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.95%31.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.64%67.36%
Score Analysis
    Mali 50.91%
    Uganda 25.51%
    Draw 23.57%
MaliDrawUganda
2-1 @ 9.66%
1-0 @ 9.45%
2-0 @ 8.26%
3-1 @ 5.63%
3-0 @ 4.81%
3-2 @ 3.29%
4-1 @ 2.46%
4-0 @ 2.1%
4-2 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 50.91%
1-1 @ 11.05%
2-2 @ 5.65%
0-0 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.57%
1-2 @ 6.47%
0-1 @ 6.33%
0-2 @ 3.7%
1-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 2.2%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 25.51%

How you voted: Mali vs Uganda

Mali
77.1%
Draw
22.9%
Uganda
0.0%
35
Head to Head
Sep 6, 2021 2pm
Second Round
Uganda
0-0
Mali
Jjuko (34'), Arnold Okwi (64')
Jjuko (64')
Jan 25, 2017 7pm
Group Stage
Uganda
1-1
Mali
Miya (70')
Bissouma (74')
rhs 2.0
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