World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round

Oct 7, 2021 at 8pm UK

Mali
5 - 0
Kenya

Traore (8'), Kone (22', 36', 45' pen.), Doumbia (85')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Omar (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Mali and Kenya, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Kenya had a probability of 21.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Kenya win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.

Result
Mali	Draw	Kenya
54.79%	23.63%	21.58%

Both teams to score 52.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.6%

48.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.46%

70.54%

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.46%

17.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.92%

48.07%

Kenya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.17%

36.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.38%

73.61%

Score Analysis

Mali 54.78%

Kenya 21.58%

Draw 23.63%

Mali	Draw	Kenya
1-0 @ 11.24% 2-0 @ 9.79% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 5.68% 3-1 @ 5.67% 3-2 @ 2.83% 4-0 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 2.47% 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.63% Total : 54.78%	1-1 @ 11.23% 0-0 @ 6.46% 2-2 @ 4.88% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.63%	0-1 @ 6.45% 1-2 @ 5.61% 0-2 @ 3.22% 1-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.63% 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.73% Total : 21.58%