World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Sep 5, 2021 at 2pm UK
Rwanda1 - 1Kenya
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Kenya had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Kenya win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rwanda | Draw | Kenya |
| 50.44% | 24.39% | 25.17% |
| Both teams to score 53.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.98% | 48.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.81% | 70.19% |
| Rwanda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.94% | 19.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.35% | 50.65% |
| Kenya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.62% | 33.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30% | 70% |
| Score Analysis |
Rwanda 50.44%
Kenya 25.17%
Draw 24.39%
| Rwanda | Draw | Kenya |
| 1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 9.59% 2-0 @ 8.74% 3-1 @ 5.3% 3-0 @ 4.83% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 2.2% 4-0 @ 2% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.13% Total : 50.44% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 6.36% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 6.98% 1-2 @ 6.35% 0-2 @ 3.83% 1-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.37% Total : 25.17% |
How you voted: Rwanda vs Kenya
Rwanda
25.0%Draw
33.3%Kenya
41.7%24
