World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Oct 10, 2021 at 2pm UK
Uganda1 - 0Rwanda
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Rwanda had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Rwanda win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Uganda in this match.
| Result | ||
| Uganda | Draw | Rwanda |
| 43.61% | 26.7% | 29.68% |
| Both teams to score 50.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.4% | 54.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.06% | 75.93% |
| Uganda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.15% | 24.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.55% | 59.45% |
| Rwanda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.69% | 33.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.07% | 69.93% |
| Score Analysis |
Uganda 43.61%
Rwanda 29.68%
Draw 26.7%
| Uganda | Draw | Rwanda |
| 1-0 @ 11.52% 2-1 @ 8.82% 2-0 @ 8.02% 3-1 @ 4.09% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.46% Total : 43.61% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 8.28% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 9.1% 1-2 @ 6.96% 0-2 @ 5% 1-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.45% Total : 29.68% |
How you voted: Uganda vs Rwanda
Uganda
71.9%Draw
21.9%Rwanda
6.3%32
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2021 5pm
Jan 18, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Rwanda
0-0
Uganda
Kalisa (32'), Usengimana (77'), Imanishimwe (79')
J (16'), Willa (55')
