World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round

Nov 11, 2021 at 1pm UK

Uganda
1 - 1
Kenya

Bayo (89')
Awany (61'), Sentamu (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Olunga (62')
Ochieng (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Uganda and Kenya, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 44.65%. A win for Kenya had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Kenya win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Uganda	Draw	Kenya
44.65%	27.04%	28.3%

Both teams to score 48.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.51%

56.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.52%

77.48%

Uganda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.82%

25.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.1%

59.9%

Kenya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.63%

35.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.87%

72.12%

Score Analysis

Uganda 44.65%

Kenya 28.3%

Draw 27.04%

Uganda	Draw	Kenya
1-0 @ 12.28% 2-1 @ 8.8% 2-0 @ 8.47% 3-1 @ 4.05% 3-0 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.32% Total : 44.65%	1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.9% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.04%	0-1 @ 9.25% 1-2 @ 6.63% 0-2 @ 4.81% 1-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.06% Total : 28.3%