World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round

Nov 11, 2021 at 4pm UK

Rwanda
0 - 3
Mali

Imanishimwe (72')
Bizimana (7')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Djenepo (19'), Kone (21'), Coulibaly (87')
Kone (48'), Camara (70'), Coulibaly (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Rwanda and Mali, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 36.4%. A win for Rwanda had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Rwanda win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.

Result
Rwanda	Draw	Mali
35.33%	28.28%	36.4%

Both teams to score 46.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.71%

59.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.31%

79.69%

Rwanda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.18%

31.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.74%

68.26%

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.86%

31.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.53%

67.47%

Score Analysis

Rwanda 35.32%

Mali 36.4%

Draw 28.27%

Rwanda	Draw	Mali
1-0 @ 11.34% 2-1 @ 7.58% 2-0 @ 6.5% 3-1 @ 2.89% 3-0 @ 2.48% 3-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.85% Total : 35.32%	1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 9.91% 2-2 @ 4.42% Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.27%	0-1 @ 11.56% 1-2 @ 7.72% 0-2 @ 6.74% 1-3 @ 3% 0-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 3.02% Total : 36.4%