African Nations Championship | Group Stage
Jan 16, 2023 at 4pm UK
New Suez Stadium
Mali3 - 3Angola
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Algeria 1-1 Mali
Wednesday, November 16 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Wednesday, November 16 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Last Game: South Africa 1-1 Angola
Sunday, November 20 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Sunday, November 20 at 1pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Angola | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
We said: Mali 1-1 Angola
Mali boast the superior record in this fixture, but Angola are on a better run of form heading into Monday's clash. We anticipate a keenly-contested affair with honours even come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 56.29%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Angola had a probability of 16.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.82%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.31%), while for an Angola win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mali | Draw | Angola |
56.29% ( 0.4) | 26.91% ( -0.2) | 16.8% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 36.56% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
