COSAFA Cup | Group Stage

Jul 5, 2022 at 4pm UK

King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium

Angola
3 - 1
Comoros

Megue (39'), Lepua (49' pen.), Juliao (74')
Balanga (45'), Balbudia (53'), Bito (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ali (76')
El Haddad (90+1')

Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Angola and Comoros.

Form, Standings, Stats

Angola

Last Six:

Last Game: Madagascar 1-1 Angola
Sunday, June 5 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	4	7
2	Tunisia	3	0	3
3	Angola	3	-1	2
4	Mauritania	3	-3	2

Comoros

Last Six:

Last Game: Zambia 2-1 Comoros
Tuesday, June 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Comoros had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Comoros win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angola would win this match.

Result
Angola	Draw	Comoros
42.56% ( 0.01)	27.26% ( 0)	30.18% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 48.7% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.48% (

-0.02)

56.52% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.49% (

-0.02)

77.51% (

0.02)

Angola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.74% (

-0)

26.26% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.62% (

-0.01)

61.37% (

0.01)

Comoros Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.05% (

-0.02)

33.95% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.37% (

-0.02)

70.63% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Angola 42.56%

Comoros 30.18%

Draw 27.25%

Angola	Draw	Comoros
1-0 @ 11.92% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.97% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.13% Total : 42.56%	1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.25%	0-1 @ 9.63% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.2% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 30.18%