Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 5, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade Municipal de Mahamasina

Madagascar
1 - 1
Angola

Rakotoharimalala (36')
Lapoussin (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gelson (43')
Cafumana (37'), N'Zola (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Madagascar and Angola, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Madagascar

Last Six:

Last Game: Madagascar 1-1 Angola
Sunday, June 5 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Madagascar vs. CAR
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Madagascar	3	3	7
2	Nigeria	3	0	6
3	Guinea	3	1	4
4	Burundi	3	-4	0

Angola

Last Six:

Last Game: Madagascar 1-1 Angola
Sunday, June 5 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Ghana vs. Angola
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	4	7
2	Tunisia	3	0	3
3	Angola	3	-1	2
4	Mauritania	3	-3	2

We said: Madagascar 1-1 Angola

Buoyed by Wednesday's victory, Angola will head into the weekend with sky-high confidence as they look to strengthen their lead at the top of the group. However, they have struggled for results away from home and we predict Madagascar will make use of their home advantage and force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 51.24%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Angola had a probability of 21.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for an Angola win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Madagascar	Draw	Angola
51.24%	27.31% ( 0.02)	21.45% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 41.79% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.11% (

-0.07)

61.89% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.34% (

-0.05)

81.65% (

0.05)

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.56% (

-0.03)

24.44% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.12% (

-0.04)

58.87% (

0.04)

Angola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.3% (

-0.05)

44.69% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.31% (

-0.05)

80.69% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Madagascar 51.24%

Angola 21.45%

Draw 27.3%

Madagascar	Draw	Angola
1-0 @ 15.39% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.09% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 51.24%	1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.48% Total : 27.3%	0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 21.45%