World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Sep 7, 2021 at 2pm UK
Tanzania3 - 2Madagascar
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tanzania win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Madagascar had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Madagascar win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tanzania would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tanzania | Draw | Madagascar |
| 41.18% | 27.48% | 31.34% |
| Both teams to score 48.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.05% | 56.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.14% | 77.86% |
| Tanzania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.8% | 27.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.39% | 62.61% |
| Madagascar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.67% | 33.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.05% | 69.95% |
| Score Analysis |
Tanzania 41.18%
Madagascar 31.34%
Draw 27.47%
| Tanzania | Draw | Madagascar |
| 1-0 @ 11.8% 2-1 @ 8.44% 2-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 3.66% 3-0 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.96% Total : 41.18% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 9.07% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.47% | 0-1 @ 9.96% 1-2 @ 7.12% 0-2 @ 5.47% 1-3 @ 2.61% 0-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.47% Total : 31.34% |
How you voted: Tanzania vs Madagascar
Tanzania
71.1%Draw
20.0%Madagascar
8.9%45
Form Guide
