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Madagascar national football team
Friendlies 3
Oct 12, 2020 at 6pm UK
 
Burkina Faso national football team

Madagascar
1 - 2
Burkina Faso

FT
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Madagascar and Burkina Faso.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 34.7%. A win for Madagascar had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 31.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.84%) and 1-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Madagascar win was 1-0 (13.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burkina Faso would win this match.

Result
MadagascarDrawBurkina Faso
34.11%31.18%34.7%
Both teams to score 39.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.38%68.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.66%86.34%
Madagascar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.35%37.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.57%74.43%
Burkina Faso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.77%37.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.99%74.01%
Score Analysis
    Madagascar 34.11%
    Burkina Faso 34.7%
    Draw 31.17%
MadagascarDrawBurkina Faso
1-0 @ 13.69%
2-0 @ 6.69%
2-1 @ 6.61%
3-0 @ 2.18%
3-1 @ 2.15%
3-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 34.11%
0-0 @ 14.01%
1-1 @ 13.52%
2-2 @ 3.27%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 31.17%
0-1 @ 13.85%
0-2 @ 6.84%
1-2 @ 6.68%
0-3 @ 2.25%
1-3 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 34.7%

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