Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 1, 2022 at 8pm UK

Ghana
3 - 0
Madagascar

Kudus (53'), Afena-Gyan (56'), Bukari (86')
Amartey (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mombris (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Ghana and Madagascar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ghana

Last Six:

Last Game: CAR 1-1 Ghana
Sunday, June 5 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Ghana vs. Angola
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Madagascar

Last Six:

Last Game: Madagascar 1-1 Angola
Sunday, June 5 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Madagascar vs. CAR
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Madagascar	3	3	7
2	Nigeria	3	0	6
3	Guinea	3	1	4
4	Burundi	3	-4	0

Ghana will be licking their lips as they begin their quest for a place in the 2023 AFCON against an opposing side who have managed just one win since 2019. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the sides, we are backing the Black Stars to comfortably come away with all three points on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 24.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Madagascar win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ghana would win this match.

Result
Ghana	Draw	Madagascar
51.11%	24.86%	24.02%

Both teams to score 51.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.03%

50.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.16%

72.84%

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.06%

19.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.91%

52.08%

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.02%

35.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.24%

72.75%

Score Analysis

Ghana 51.11%

Madagascar 24.02%

Draw 24.86%

Ghana	Draw	Madagascar
1-0 @ 11.56% 2-1 @ 9.53% 2-0 @ 9.33% 3-1 @ 5.13% 3-0 @ 5.01% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-0 @ 2.02% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.79% Total : 51.11%	1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 7.17% 2-2 @ 4.87% Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.86%	0-1 @ 7.33% 1-2 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 3.75% 1-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.9% Total : 24.02%