Morocco1 - 0Ghana
We said: Morocco 3-1 Ghana
Despite their Arab Cup defeat against Algeria last time out, Morocco head into the tournament as one of the most in-form sides and favourites to go all the way. While we expect Ghana to put up a fight, we are tipping the Atlas Lions to come away with all three points as they boast a significantly superior squad. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 49.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 24.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Morocco in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Morocco.
| Result | ||
| Morocco | Draw | Ghana |
| 49.77% | 25.42% | 24.81% |
| Both teams to score 50.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.46% | 52.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.8% | 74.2% |
| Morocco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.87% | 21.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.03% | 53.97% |
| Ghana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.86% | 36.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.08% | 72.92% |
| Score Analysis |
| Morocco | Draw | Ghana |
| 1-0 @ 11.87% 2-1 @ 9.39% 2-0 @ 9.23% 3-1 @ 4.87% 3-0 @ 4.78% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.86% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.45% Total : 49.77% | 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 7.64% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 7.77% 1-2 @ 6.15% 0-2 @ 3.96% 1-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.62% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.88% Total : 24.81% |
