World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round

Nov 11, 2021 at 1pm UK

Ethiopia
1 - 1
Ghana

Kebede (72')
Tamene (86'), Shanko (87'), Debebe (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ayew (22')
Ayew (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Ethiopia and Ghana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Ethiopia had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Ethiopia win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
Ethiopia	Draw	Ghana
28.57%	25.18%	46.25%

Both teams to score 54.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51%

49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.92%

71.08%

Ethiopia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.77%

31.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.43%

67.57%

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.79%

21.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.9%

54.09%

Score Analysis

Ethiopia 28.57%

Ghana 46.24%

Draw 25.18%

Ethiopia	Draw	Ghana
1-0 @ 7.71% 2-1 @ 6.96% 2-0 @ 4.49% 3-1 @ 2.7% 3-2 @ 2.09% 3-0 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.89% Total : 28.57%	1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.18%	0-1 @ 10.26% 1-2 @ 9.27% 0-2 @ 7.96% 1-3 @ 4.79% 0-3 @ 4.12% 2-3 @ 2.79% 1-4 @ 1.86% 0-4 @ 1.6% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.51% Total : 46.24%