World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Sep 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
Ghana1 - 0Ethiopia
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for Ethiopia had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Ethiopia win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ghana in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ghana | Draw | Ethiopia |
| 47.21% | 25.77% | 27.02% |
| Both teams to score 51.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
