Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 7, 2022 at 5pm UK

National Heroes Stadium

Zambia
2 - 1
Comoros

Mwepu (45+2'), Kangwa (88')
Mwape (2'), Mayembe (67'), Kangwa (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Fardou Ben (13')
M'Dahoma (40'), Zahary (45'), Mohamed (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Zambia and Comoros, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zambia

Last Six:

Last Game: Zambia 2-1 Comoros
Tuesday, June 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Zambia vs. Lesotho
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Zambia	3	4	7
2	Namibia	3	2	7
3	Uganda	3	-3	1
4	Ivory Coast	3	-3	1

Comoros

Last Six:

Last Game: Zambia 2-1 Comoros
Tuesday, June 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Ivory Coast vs. Comoros
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Having suffered defeat in their opening fixture, the onus is more on Zambia to take control of proceedings and grab the game by the scruff of its neck. We are tipping them to come out on top, albeit by only a slender margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Comoros had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Comoros win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Zambia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Zambia.

Result
Zambia	Draw	Comoros
39.48% ( -0.01)	26.35% ( 0.01)	34.17% ( 0)

Both teams to score 52.79% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.1% (

-0.02)

51.89% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.35% (

-0.02)

73.64% (

0.02)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.22% (

-0.01)

25.78% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.27% (

-0.02)

60.72% (

0.02)

Comoros Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.13% (

-0.01)

28.87% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.26% (

-0.01)

64.74% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Zambia 39.47%

Comoros 34.17%

Draw 26.35%

Zambia	Draw	Comoros
1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 39.47%	1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35%	0-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.74% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.17%