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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Apr 7, 2025 at 12am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
Toronto FC

Inter Miami
1 - 1
Toronto

Messi (45+5')
Segovia (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bernardeschi (45+2')
Thompson (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 1-0 Inter Miami
Thursday, April 3 at 4.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Toronto 0-0 Vancouver
Saturday, March 29 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 3-1 Toronto

Although Inter Miami have won four in a row in MLS, Mascherano's men have kept only one clean sheet during this run, which remains the team's only shutout this term, and this pattern may continue against Toronto. Nonetheless, the hosts should possess too much firepower to secure the points at the expense of the Canadian outfit, thus recording five wins on the trot in this match-up. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 1-0 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawToronto
67.32% (1.61 1.61) 17.94% (-0.407 -0.41) 14.73% (-1.209 -1.21)
Both teams to score 58.31% (-1.59 -1.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.19% (-0.63200000000001 -0.63)33.8% (0.625 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.35% (-0.718 -0.72)55.64% (0.712 0.71)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.74% (0.199 0.2)9.25% (-0.205 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.71% (0.47799999999999 0.48)31.28% (-0.484 -0.48)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.25% (-1.901 -1.9)35.74% (1.895 1.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.48% (-2.007 -2.01)72.51% (2 2)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 67.32%
    Toronto 14.73%
    Draw 17.94%
Inter MiamiDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.37% (0.467 0.47)
1-0 @ 7.87% (0.323 0.32)
3-1 @ 7.65% (0.066 0.07)
3-0 @ 7.43% (0.435 0.44)
4-1 @ 4.55% (0.081 0.08)
4-0 @ 4.42% (0.297 0.3)
3-2 @ 3.93% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-2 @ 2.34% (-0.08 -0.08)
5-1 @ 2.17% (0.058 0.06)
5-0 @ 2.11% (0.16 0.16)
5-2 @ 1.11% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 4.73%
Total : 67.32%
1-1 @ 8.1% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.265 -0.27)
0-0 @ 3.31% (0.107 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 17.94%
1-2 @ 4.17% (-0.264 -0.26)
0-1 @ 3.4% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-2 @ 1.75% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.186 -0.19)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.171 -0.17)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 14.73%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Toronto

Inter Miami
Draw
Toronto
Inter Miami
91.7%
Draw
4.2%
Toronto
4.2%
24
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 9pm
Aug 9, 2024 12.30am
Round of 32
Inter Miami
4-3
Toronto
Rojas (3', 59'), Gomez (11'), Suarez (20')
Cremaschi (84')
Martinez (28')
Insigne (15' pen., 41'), Allen (79' og.)
Laryea (43'), Wingo (54')
Jul 18, 2024 12.30am
Inter Miami
3-1
Toronto
Gomez (43'), Redondo (53', 59')
Redondo (62'), Fray (87')
Etienne (80')
Etienne (52')
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
Mar 18, 2023 11.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati107121512322
2Columbus Crew10631148621
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia106131991019
4Charlotte FCCharlotte FC10613168819
5Inter MiamiInter Miami95311610618
6Nashville SCNashville105141913616
7Orlando City104421812616
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls10433119215
9New York City FCNY City104241213-114
10New England RevolutionNew England941477013
11Chicago Fire103341822-412
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta102351119-89
13DC United102351122-119
14Toronto10145814-67
15CF MontrealMontreal10037414-103

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver107212071323
2Portland TimbersPortland105322015518
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd104421210216
4Colorado RapidsColorado104421414016
5Austin FCAustin10514710-316
6Dallas104331414015
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104241516-114
8Seattle SoundersSeattle103431312113
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake104061115-412
10San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes103162019110
11St Louis City1024478-110
12Houston DynamoHouston102441014-410
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy10037820-123
15San Diego FC00000000


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