Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 62.07%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 19.07% and a draw had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.46%) and 3-1 (7.42%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (4.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.