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Columbus Crew
Major League Soccer
Oct 13, 2024 at 12.30am UK
MAPFRE Stadium
New England Revolution

Columbus Crew
4 - 0
New England

Jones (5'), Matan (14', 64', 72')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Romney (51'), Boateng (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Columbus Crew 3-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, October 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 1-2 DC United
Sunday, October 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Columbus Crew 3-2 New England Revolution

The Crew are firing on all cylinders at the moment and look just as sharp in the attacking third as we have seen all year, and we expect a spirited affair with the Columbus depth ultimately giving them three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 17.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawNew England Revolution
64.76% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07) 18.17% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 17.07% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 63.37% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.04% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)29.95% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)51.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.2% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)8.79% (0.016 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.82% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)30.17% (0.041 0.04)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.48% (0.045000000000002 0.05)30.51% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.27% (0.054000000000002 0.05)66.73% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 64.76%
    New England Revolution 17.07%
    Draw 18.17%
Columbus CrewDrawNew England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 6.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.43% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.64% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.75%
5-1 @ 2.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.9% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-3 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-1 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 64.76%
1-1 @ 7.74% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.79% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 18.17%
1-2 @ 4.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.82% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 17.07%

How you voted: Columbus Crew vs New England

Columbus Crew
88.5%
Draw
7.7%
New England Revolution
3.8%
26
Head to Head
Jun 30, 2024 12.30am
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
New England
1-2
Columbus Crew
Chancalay (48')
Polster (45+2')
Rossi (20'), Amundsen (86')
Amundsen (58'), Nagbe (61'), Zawadzki (70'), Ramirez (90')
Jul 24, 2022 12.30am
May 8, 2022 12.30am
rhs 2.0
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