Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 17.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.