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Major League Soccer
Columbus Crew
Major League Soccer
Oct 6, 2024 at 12.30am UK
MAPFRE Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Columbus Crew
3 - 2
Philadelphia

Camilo Hernandez (4', 76'), Farsi (41')
Herrera (14'), Cheberko (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Harriel (25'), McGlynn (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Columbus Crew

All competitions
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-3 Inter Miami
Thursday, October 3 at 12.45am in Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Last Game: Orlando City 2-1 Philadelphia
Thursday, October 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Columbus Crew 2-2 Philadelphia Union

 Still licking their wounds from Thursday's defeat against Inter Miami, Columbus Crew will head into the weekend looking to return to winning ways and end their three-game winless run. However, with their playoff dreams potentially hinging on this one, we predict that Philadelphia Union will hold out for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 59.68%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 20.79% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.25%) and 3-1 (7.18%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (5.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawPhiladelphia Union
59.68% (-5.01 -5.01) 19.53% (1.254 1.25) 20.79% (3.762 3.76)
Both teams to score 65.34% (2.529 2.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.52% (0.137 0.14)30.48% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.23% (0.163 0.16)51.77% (-0.156 -0.16)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.88% (-1.13 -1.13)10.13% (1.137 1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.69% (-2.665 -2.66)33.32% (2.671 2.67)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.7% (3.686 3.69)27.3% (-3.678 -3.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.26% (4.546 4.55)62.75% (-4.538 -4.54)
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 59.68%
    Philadelphia Union 20.79%
    Draw 19.54%
Columbus CrewDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.25% (-0.833 -0.83)
3-1 @ 7.18% (-0.421 -0.42)
1-0 @ 6.33% (-0.378 -0.38)
3-0 @ 5.53% (-0.957 -0.96)
3-2 @ 4.66% (0.207 0.21)
4-1 @ 4.11% (-0.468 -0.47)
4-0 @ 3.17% (-0.741 -0.74)
4-2 @ 2.67% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.88% (-0.323 -0.32)
5-0 @ 1.45% (-0.433 -0.43)
5-2 @ 1.22% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-3 @ 1.16% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 59.68%
1-1 @ 8.22% (0.357 0.36)
2-2 @ 6.11% (0.561 0.56)
0-0 @ 2.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.02% (0.278 0.28)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 19.54%
1-2 @ 5.34% (0.729 0.73)
0-1 @ 3.59% (0.326 0.33)
2-3 @ 2.64% (0.477 0.48)
0-2 @ 2.33% (0.418 0.42)
1-3 @ 2.31% (0.51 0.51)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.261 0.26)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 20.79%

How you voted: Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia

Columbus Crew
72.7%
Draw
18.2%
Philadelphia Union
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2024 12.30am
Philadelphia
0-1
Columbus Crew

Wagner (45+5')
Yeboah (75')
Jones (3'), Amundsen (89'), Schulte (90+6')
> Preview
Aug 22, 2024 12.30am
Semi-Finals
Columbus Crew
3-1
Philadelphia
Rossi (12', 43'), Camilo Hernandez (53')
Zawadzki (49')
Gazdag (32')
Bueno (90+1')
> Preview
Oct 1, 2023 12.30am
Columbus Crew
1-1
Philadelphia
Camilo Hernandez (72' pen.)
Amundsen (67'), Camilo Hernandez (84')
Harriel (50')
Lowe (52'), Elliott (71'), Wagner (72')
> Preview
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
4-1
Columbus Crew
> Preview
Jul 4, 2022 12.30am
Columbus Crew
0-0
Philadelphia
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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