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Major League Soccer
Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Oct 3, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Orlando City Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Orlando City
2 - 1
Philadelphia

Torres (57'), McGuire (64')
Schlegel (19'), Torres (69'), McGuire (90+5'), Araujo (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sullivan (72')
Gazdag (68'), Wagner (74'), Uhre (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions
Last Game: Dallas 1-3 Orlando City
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 2-1 Philadelphia Union

 Although Philadelphia have secured six points from their last three road matches, facing an in-form Orlando could scupper the playoff-chasing side's prospects. While their goalscoring proficiency away from home could see them score for the eighth road match in succession, the home side will back themselves to notch a fourth consecutive victory at Euphoria Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 66.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 14.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Orlando City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Orlando City.

Result
Orlando CityDrawPhiladelphia Union
66.57% (-0.161 -0.16) 18.86% (0.087 0.09) 14.57% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
Both teams to score 54.37% (-0.12 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.35% (-0.251 -0.25)38.66% (0.251 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.04% (-0.266 -0.27)60.96% (0.264 0.26)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.23% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)10.77% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.23% (-0.249 -0.25)34.77% (0.248 0.25)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.93% (-0.058 -0.06)39.07% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.21% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)75.79% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 66.56%
    Philadelphia Union 14.57%
    Draw 18.86%
Orlando CityDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-0 @ 10.44% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.38% (0.068 0.07)
3-0 @ 7.76% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.29% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.32% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.06% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.93% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.91% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.81% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 66.56%
1-1 @ 8.81% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.21% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.86%
1-2 @ 4.14% (0.017 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.96% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.86% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.3% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 14.57%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Philadelphia

Orlando City
80.8%
Draw
7.7%
Philadelphia Union
11.5%
26
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 12.30am
Philadelphia
2-3
Orlando City
Uhre (12'), Gazdag (66' pen.)
Lowe (81')
McGuire (21'), Muriel (42', 46')
Angulo (45+5'), Araujo (87'), Smith (90')
> Preview
Jun 22, 2023 12.30am
Orlando City
2-2
Philadelphia
McGuire (13'), Ojeda (54')
Schlegel (48'), Stajduhar (61'), Enrique (82'), Kara (88')
McGlynn (60'), Andres Martinez (90')
Mbaizo (28'), Flach (38'), Carranza (61'), Wagner (82')
> Preview
Mar 25, 2023 11.30pm
Philadelphia
1-2
Orlando City
Perea (17')
Ojeda (2'), Angulo (9')
> Preview
Sep 11, 2022 12.30am
Philadelphia
5-1
Orlando City
Mbaizo (39'), Uhre (43'), Gazdag (55' pen.), Bedoya (63'), Elliott (87')
Perea (75')
> Preview
Jul 24, 2022 12.30am
Orlando City
0-1
Philadelphia

Kara (31'), Moutinho (37'), Araujo (63')
Gazdag (39')
Andres Martinez (8'), Carranza (44')
> Preview
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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