Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.