Major League Soccer

Apr 14, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
2 - 2
Philadelphia

Rios (55'), Wiley (63')
Almada (25'), Muyumba (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Uhre (73'), Wagner (77')
Carranza (21'), Gazdag (35'), Andres Martinez (35'), Wagner (75'), McGlynn (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, April 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Nashville 1-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Atlanta United 2-1 Philadelphia Union

If Giakoumakis does not feature, it will be a blow for the home side, however they have plenty of attacking pieces to count upon besides the Greek, and we believe they will find a way to get the job done. All good things must come to an end, and although the Union will likely keep this match close, we expect to see a fast-paced game on the artificial turf, which should favour the Five Stripes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 52.11%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	Philadelphia Union
52.11% ( -0.13)	23.02% ( 0.01)	24.87% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 58.14% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.7% (

0.09)

42.29% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.3% (

0.09)

64.7% (

-0.1)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.72% (

-0.01)

16.28% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.16% (

-0.02)

45.84% (

0.02)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.45% (

0.15)

30.55% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.23% (

0.18)

66.77% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 52.11%

Philadelphia Union 24.87%

Draw 23.02%

Atlanta United	Draw	Philadelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 52.11%	1-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.02%	1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.9% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 24.87%