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Major League Soccer
Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Apr 14, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Atlanta
2 - 2
Philadelphia

Rios (55'), Wiley (63')
Almada (25'), Muyumba (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Uhre (73'), Wagner (77')
Carranza (21'), Gazdag (35'), Andres Martinez (35'), Wagner (75'), McGlynn (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Last Game: NY City 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, April 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-1 Philadelphia Union

 If Giakoumakis does not feature, it will be a blow for the home side, however they have plenty of attacking pieces to count upon besides the Greek, and we believe they will find a way to get the job done. All good things must come to an end, and although the Union will likely keep this match close, we expect to see a fast-paced game on the artificial turf, which should favour the Five Stripes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 52.11%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawPhiladelphia Union
52.11% (-0.134 -0.13) 23.02% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 24.87% (0.127 0.13)
Both teams to score 58.14% (0.122 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.7% (0.094999999999999 0.09)42.29% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.3% (0.093999999999994 0.09)64.7% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.72% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)16.28% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.16% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)45.84% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.45% (0.154 0.15)30.55% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.23% (0.183 0.18)66.77% (-0.18599999999999 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 52.11%
    Philadelphia Union 24.87%
    Draw 23.02%
Atlanta UnitedDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.03% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.19% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.96% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.49% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.25% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 52.11%
1-1 @ 10.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.02%
1-2 @ 6.35% (0.025 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.5% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.51% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 24.87%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Philadelphia

Atlanta United
45.5%
Draw
18.2%
Philadelphia Union
36.4%
11
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
3-2
Atlanta
Gazdag (39'), Uhre (41'), Carranza (45+3')
Elliott (34'), Sullivan (66'), Andres Martinez (75'), Harriel (81')
Almada (56' pen.), Mosquera (77')
Thiare (75')
> Preview
Jul 2, 2023 9pm
Atlanta
2-0
Philadelphia
Almada (7'), Lennon (79')
Sejdic (70'), Ibarra (75')

Harriel (4'), Carranza (47'), Uhre (65'), Torres (90+3')
> Preview
Sep 17, 2022 8.30pm
Atlanta
0-0
Philadelphia
> Preview
Sep 1, 2022 12am
Philadelphia
4-1
Atlanta
Carranza (18'), Uhre (45+3'), Gazdag (67'), Harriel (90+5')
Gutman (24')
> Preview
Sep 25, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 33
Philadelphia
1-0
Atlanta
Przybylko (71')
Andres Martinez (39')

Moreno (31')
> Preview
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