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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Feb 25, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
Chicago Fire

Philadelphia
2 - 2
Chicago Fire

Uhre (55'), Gazdag (90+3')
Andres Martinez (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gutierrez (39'), Herbers (82')
Pineda (45'), Brady (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Deportivo Saprissa 2-3 Philadelphia
Wednesday, February 21 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: NY City 1-0 Chicago Fire
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 1-0 Chicago Fire

There are too many unknowns in Chicago right now, so we are going with the Union, who have been among the most consistent MLS sides in the regular season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawChicago Fire
47.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.73% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 28.16% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 55.38% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.69% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)47.31% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.46% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)69.54% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.85% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)20.15% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.58% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)52.42% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.35% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)30.65% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.1% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)66.9% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 47.11%
    Chicago Fire 28.16%
    Draw 24.72%
Philadelphia UnionDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 9.89% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 4.23%
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.7% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 47.11%
1-1 @ 11.69%
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 7.3% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 28.16%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Chicago Fire

Philadelphia Union
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
Chicago Fire
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 1.30am
Aug 14, 2022 12.30am
Aug 1, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 20
Philadelphia
1-1
Chicago Fire
Wagner (36')
Glesnes (30'), Elliott (66')
Frankowski (10')
Herbers (41'), Beric (78')
Omsberg (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Cowboys
20-15
Giants
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami30197468442464
2Columbus Crew29168558312756
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati30175852391356
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls30101464739844
5Orlando City30127115045543
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC30118113633341
7New York City FCNY City30118114343041
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia30991257471036
9Toronto31113173855-1736
10CF MontrealMontreal30810124161-2034
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta3089134044-433
12Nashville SCNashville3089133146-1533
13DC United3089134461-1733
14Chicago Fire3178163654-1829
15New England RevolutionNew England2984173260-2828

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy31177763461758
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake30149760451551
3Colorado RapidsColorado30155105850850
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles29147852401249
5Houston DynamoHouston30139843331048
6Seattle SoundersSeattle30138945341147
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2913794940946
8Portland TimbersPortland301281063531044
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd30126125048242
10Dallas30107134949037
11Austin FCAustin3098133242-1035
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas3187164958-931
13St Louis City30613114357-1431
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3053223769-3218


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