Cincinnati1 - 0Philadelphia
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, November 4 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
for
Thursday, November 9 at 12am in Major League Soccer
for
We said: FC Cincinnati 2-0 Philadelphia Union
Both teams will be without some key pieces to their lineup, but the overall depth of Cincy and the individual genius of Acosta has us leaning towards the Supporters' Shield winners getting the job done.How to watch
You can watch FC Cincinnati vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 50.83%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
50.83% ( -0.41) | 22.97% ( 0.13) | 26.2% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 59.69% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.13% ( -0.36) | 40.86% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.74% ( -0.36) | 63.25% ( 0.36) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.78% ( -0.28) | 16.22% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.28% ( -0.51) | 45.71% ( 0.5) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.24% ( 0.03) | 28.75% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.4% ( 0.03) | 64.59% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.48% Total : 50.83% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.97% | 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.44% Total : 26.2% |
