Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Cincinnati in this match.