Major League Soccer
Mar 18, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Stade Saputo
Montreal3 - 2Philadelphia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nashville 2-0 Montreal
Sunday, March 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, March 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, March 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, March 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
We said: CF Montreal 0-1 Philadelphia Union
Even with little time to rest for this encounter, we do not expect the Union backline to have much trouble containing a Montreal side still struggling to make that decisive final pass. Philadelphia were the top defensive unit in the league last season for a reason, they are experienced and well-organised at the back, while we believe there will be too many attacking weapons for the home team to handle this weekend.How to watch
You can watch CF Montreal vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
42.9% ( -0.51) | 25.76% ( 0.02) | 31.34% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 53.83% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
