Philadelphia1 - 0Chicago Fire
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, March 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, March 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
We said: Philadelphia Union 3-1 Chicago Fire
Philadelphia may have an eye on Alianza's visit but one of the favourites to top the Eastern Conference are unlikely to have their winning home run ended by a gutted Chicago Fire side this weekend.How to watch
You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 19.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Chicago Fire |
58.38% ( -0.63) | 21.65% ( 0.23) | 19.97% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 56.12% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.15% ( -0.47) | 41.85% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.75% ( -0.48) | 64.25% ( 0.48) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.95% ( -0.35) | 14.05% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.38% ( -0.69) | 41.62% ( 0.69) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.3% ( 0.13) | 34.7% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.57% ( 0.14) | 71.43% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.08% Total : 58.38% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.64% | 1-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.01% Total : 19.97% |
