Major League Soccer
Sep 14, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Saputo Stadium
Montreal3 - 2Chicago Fire
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Montreal 2-2 Columbus Crew
Saturday, September 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Saturday, September 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 31 | 46 | 63 |
| 2 | CF Montreal | 30 | 10 | 53 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 31 | 8 | 50 |
Last Game: Chicago Fire 3-1 Inter Miami
Sunday, September 11 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, September 11 at 1am in Major League Soccer
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | New England Revolution | 30 | -1 | 38 |
| 6 | Chicago Fire | 30 | -8 | 35 |
| 7 | Toronto | 31 | -8 | 34 |
We said: CF Montreal 1-0 Chicago Fire
The Fire have done a great job of shutting down their opponents through large portions of their matches this season, but they have a tendency to hang back and defend more often than not, and an attack as dynamic as Montreal's only need a couple of chances to make them count. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 61.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 17.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | Chicago Fire |
61.21% ( 0.27) | 21.07% ( -0.12) | 17.71% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 53.9% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.21% ( 0.26) | 42.79% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.8% ( 0.25) | 65.19% ( -0.26) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.51% ( 0.16) | 13.49% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.48% ( 0.33) | 40.51% ( -0.33) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.31% ( -0.03) | 37.69% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.53% ( -0.03) | 74.46% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
CF Montreal 61.21%
Chicago Fire 17.71%
Draw 21.07%
| CF Montreal | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 2-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.11% Total : 61.21% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.07% | 0-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 17.71% |
How you voted: Montreal vs Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
75.0%Draw
21.4%Chicago Fire
3.6%28
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 1am
Sep 19, 2021 6pm
May 29, 2021 6pm
Oct 4, 2020 12.30am
Sep 27, 2020 1am
Form Guide
