Major League Soccer

Oct 2, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
2 - 3
Chicago Fire

Acosta (78'), Vazquez (89')
Hagglund (27'), Kubo (81')
Santos (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Duran (56', 75'), Gutierrez (59')
Pineda (68'), Czichos (90+4'), Navarro (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Seattle 1-1 Cincinnati
Wednesday, September 28 at 3am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-3 Charlotte FC
Sunday, September 18 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-0 Chicago Fire

With two games left to play before the end of the regular season, FC Cincinnati need one win to cement their place in the playoffs. They head into the weekend in solid form on home turf and we predict that they will make use of their home advantage to see off the floundering Chicago Fire side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 53.83%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 23.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%).

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	Chicago Fire
53.83% ( 0.32)	22.51% ( -0.14)	23.65% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 58.48% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.79% (

0.41)

41.2% (

-0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.4% (

0.41)

63.59% (

-0.42)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.7% (

0.25)

15.3% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.98% (

0.47)

44.02% (

-0.48)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.05% (

0.06)

30.95% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.75% (

0.07)

67.25% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 53.83%

Chicago Fire 23.65%

Draw 22.51%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	Chicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.86% Total : 53.83%	1-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.51%	1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 23.65%