Major League Soccer

Sep 11, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
6 - 0
Earthquakes

Barreal (45'), Brenner (47', 90', 90+5' pen.), Acosta (71' pen.), Kubo (77')
Cameron (57'), Brenner (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Monteiro (8'), Cardoso (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: FC Cincinnati 4-2 San Jose Earthquakes

Both teams play aggressively with plenty of attacking intent, so we expect they will each have their share of scoring opportunities and be able to find the back of the net, given the calibre of strikers each team possesses. The Orange and Blue have been more consistent this year and have a little more attacking depth than their opponents, which should compensate for their defensive deficiencies. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
47.89% ( 0.67)	23.73% ( -0.11)	28.38% ( -0.56)

Both teams to score 58.91% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.27% (

0.16)

42.73% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.86% (

0.15)

65.13% (

-0.16)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.98% (

0.32)

18.02% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.1% (

0.56)

48.9% (

-0.56)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.85% (

-0.31)

28.14% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.17% (

-0.39)

63.82% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 47.89%

San Jose Earthquakes 28.38%

Draw 23.73%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.64% Total : 47.89%	1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.73%	1-2 @ 6.99% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.75% Total : 28.38%