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Major League Soccer
Sep 8, 2022 at 1am UK
Yankee Stadium
FC Cincinnati

NY City
1 - 1
Cincinnati

Pereira (41')
Pereira (43'), Acevedo (84'), Chanot (90+3')
Martins (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Martins (22' og.)
Nwobodo (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New England 3-0 NY City
Monday, September 5 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 3-2 FC Cincinnati

As poor as the defending champions have been lately, Cincinnati have not sorted out their defensive issues, and while Cincy are potent in the final third, they still look vulnerable on the back end. The Orange and Blue are an ideal opponent for a side like NYCFC, and as entertaining as Cincinnati have been throughout this year, they struggle to put matches away when the opportunity arises, which we believe will benefit the Pigeons on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 69.16%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 12.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawFC Cincinnati
69.16% (0.658 0.66) 17.86% (-0.28 -0.28) 12.99% (-0.377 -0.38)
Both teams to score 53.47% (-0.118 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.38% (0.402 0.4)37.62% (-0.401 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.14% (0.427 0.43)59.86% (-0.427 -0.43)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.16% (0.268 0.27)9.84% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.34% (0.61799999999999 0.62)32.66% (-0.617 -0.62)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.31% (-0.307 -0.31)40.69% (0.307 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.72% (-0.276 -0.28)77.28% (0.277 0.28)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 69.16%
    FC Cincinnati 12.99%
    Draw 17.86%
New York City FCDrawFC Cincinnati
2-0 @ 10.76% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-0 @ 9.29% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 8.32% (0.13 0.13)
3-1 @ 7.48% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 4.82% (0.13 0.13)
4-1 @ 4.34% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 2.24% (0.086 0.09)
5-1 @ 2.01% (0.06 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.02 0.02)
5-2 @ 0.9% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 69.16%
1-1 @ 8.35% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.01% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.86%
1-2 @ 3.75% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-1 @ 3.6% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-2 @ 1.62% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.13% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 12.99%

How you voted: NY City vs Cincinnati

New York City FC
Draw
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
63.6%
Draw
20.5%
FC Cincinnati
15.9%
44
Head to Head
Jun 30, 2022 12.30am
Cincinnati
4-4
NY City
Acosta (15'), Brenner (24', 30', 70')
Nwobodo (57'), Cruz (62'), Brenner (90')
Magno (45'), Heber (45+2', 45+7'), Pereira (52')
Haak (31'), Callens (31')
Sep 19, 2021 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-2
NY City
Brenner (4')
Cameron (48'), Barreal (74')
Barreal (85'), Atanga (90+5')
Parks (37'), Castellanos (60' pen.)
Tajouri (26'), Morales (69'), Jasson (77'), Johnson (83'), Callens (90+7'), Callens (90+7')
Apr 24, 2021 6pm
NY City
5-0
Cincinnati
Medina (7', 83'), Hagglund (53' og.), Thorarinsson (57'), Castellanos (67')
Thorarinsson (50'), Castellanos (60')

Harris (10'), Cruz (56')
Sep 27, 2020 12am
NY City
4-0
Cincinnati
Mitrita (1', 43'), Tinnerholm (25'), Medina (88')
Callens (34'), Matarrita (61'), Castellanos (78')

Waston (64'), Medunjanin (71')
Sep 13, 2020 12am
NY City
2-1
Cincinnati
Ring (39'), Tinnerholm (55')
Sands (78'), Chanot (84')
Vazquez (74')
Waston (52'), Deplagne (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati106221311220
2Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9612167919
3Inter MiamiInter Miami8530136718
4Columbus Crew9531127518
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia9513169716
6Orlando City93421512313
7Nashville SCNashville94141211113
8Chicago Fire93331615112
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9333109112
10New York City FCNY City103341113-212
11New England RevolutionNew England831467-110
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta92341116-59
13DC United92341119-89
14Toronto10154813-58
15CF MontrealMontreal9036413-93

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver96211761120
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd9441117416
3Austin FCAustin951378-116
4Portland TimbersPortland94321613315
5Colorado RapidsColorado94321313015
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles94141314-113
7Seattle SoundersSeattle93331211112
8Dallas93331011-112
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes93151917210
10St Louis City923456-19
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9306814-69
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas102261519-48
13Houston DynamoHouston9144814-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy9036616-103
15San Diego FC00000000


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