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Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Jun 30, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
New York City

Cincinnati
4 - 4
NY City

Acosta (15'), Brenner (24', 30', 70')
Nwobodo (57'), Cruz (62'), Brenner (90')
FT(HT: 3-3)
Magno (45'), Heber (45+2', 45+7'), Pereira (52')
Haak (31'), Callens (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

Last Six:
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Orlando City
Saturday, June 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

New York City FC

Last Six:
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-1 NY City
Sunday, June 26 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 1-3 New York City FC

 While Cincinnati head into Thursday's contest on a high, NYCFC will have been disappointed to lose in the dying embers of their last match against another side competing with them at the top of the table. Nevertheless, the visitors will be motivated by the prospect of returning to the summit with maximum points at the TQL Stadium, and considering their impressive record against Cincinnati, the Boys in Blue will be the strong favourites to come out on top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 49.11%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York City FC
27.2% (1.657 1.66) 23.69% (0.249 0.25) 49.11% (-1.905 -1.91)
Both teams to score 58.11% (0.691 0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.64% (0.215 0.21)43.36% (-0.21400000000001 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.24% (0.212 0.21)65.76% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.68% (1.378 1.38)29.31% (-1.376 -1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.71% (1.658 1.66)65.28% (-1.657 -1.66)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.21% (-0.637 -0.64)17.79% (0.639 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.5% (-1.112 -1.11)48.5% (1.114 1.11)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 27.2%
    New York City FC 49.11%
    Draw 23.68%
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York City FC
2-1 @ 6.78% (0.304 0.3)
1-0 @ 6.4% (0.181 0.18)
2-0 @ 3.93% (0.253 0.25)
3-1 @ 2.77% (0.224 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.147 0.15)
3-0 @ 1.61% (0.16 0.16)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 27.2%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.144 0.14)
0-0 @ 5.21% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.68%
1-2 @ 9.54% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-1 @ 9% (-0.277 -0.28)
0-2 @ 7.77% (-0.409 -0.41)
1-3 @ 5.49% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-3 @ 4.47% (-0.335 -0.34)
2-3 @ 3.37% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.37% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.93% (-0.189 -0.19)
2-4 @ 1.45% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 49.11%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs NY City

FC Cincinnati
36.4%
Draw
18.2%
New York City FC
45.5%
11
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2021 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-2
NY City
Brenner (4')
Cameron (48'), Barreal (74')
Barreal (85'), Atanga (90+5')
Parks (37'), Castellanos (60' pen.)
Tajouri (26'), Morales (69'), Jasson (77'), Johnson (83'), Callens (90+7'), Callens (90+7')
Apr 24, 2021 6pm
NY City
5-0
Cincinnati
Medina (7', 83'), Hagglund (53' og.), Thorarinsson (57'), Castellanos (67')
Thorarinsson (50'), Castellanos (60')

Harris (10'), Cruz (56')
Sep 27, 2020 12am
NY City
4-0
Cincinnati
Mitrita (1', 43'), Tinnerholm (25'), Medina (88')
Callens (34'), Matarrita (61'), Castellanos (78')

Waston (64'), Medunjanin (71')
Sep 13, 2020 12am
NY City
2-1
Cincinnati
Ring (39'), Tinnerholm (55')
Sands (78'), Chanot (84')
Vazquez (74')
Waston (52'), Deplagne (90+5')
Jul 16, 2020 12am
NY City
P-P
Cincinnati
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami30197468442464
2Columbus Crew29168558312756
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati30175852391356
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls30101464739844
5Orlando City30127115045543
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC30118113633341
7New York City FCNY City30118114343041
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia30991257471036
9Toronto31113173855-1736
10CF MontrealMontreal30810124161-2034
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta3089134044-433
12Nashville SCNashville3089133146-1533
13DC United3089134461-1733
14Chicago Fire3178163654-1829
15New England RevolutionNew England2984173260-2828

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy31177763461758
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake30149760451551
3Colorado RapidsColorado30155105850850
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles29147852401249
5Houston DynamoHouston30139843331048
6Seattle SoundersSeattle30138945341147
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2913794940946
8Portland TimbersPortland301281063531044
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd30126125048242
10Dallas30107134949037
11Austin FCAustin3098133242-1035
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas3187164958-931
13St Louis City30613114357-1431
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3053223769-3218
> Full Version


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