Major League Soccer

May 22, 2022 at 12.20am UK

Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
2 - 3
New England

Vazquez (26'), Barreal (58')
Nwobodo (23')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Lletget (17'), Buksa (43'), McNamara (89')
Rivera (5'), Boateng (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

Last Six:

Last Game: New England 1-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Next Game: Kansas vs. New England
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Columbus Crew	13	1	16
6	New England Revolution	13	-1	16
7	Toronto	14	-6	15

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-3 New England Revolution

Both of these teams like to play a wide-open style of football while being quick in transition, so there should be many glorious scoring chances on either end, with each possessing more than enough quality to bury those opportunities. The Revs should have a slight edge because their midfielders are more multi-faceted, plus New England have experienced a lot more of these close, high-scoring games and usually find a way to come out on top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 38% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.07%) and 0-2 (5.45%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-3 win for New England Revolution in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for New England Revolution.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	New England Revolution
38% ( -0.76)	23.93% ( -0.42)	38.07% ( 1.17)

Both teams to score 61.76% (

1.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.51% (

2.1)

40.49% (

-2.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.13% (

2.12)

62.86% (

-2.13)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.57% (

0.55)

21.42% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.57% (

0.84)

54.43% (

-0.85)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.6% (

1.53)

21.39% (

-1.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.61% (

2.31)

54.38% (

-2.32)

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 38%

New England Revolution 38.07%

Draw 23.92%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	New England Revolution
2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.58) 2-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.68% Total : 38%	1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.46) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.92%	1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.35) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.32% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.17) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.69% Total : 38.07%