Grimsby Town1 - 0Newport
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League Two
for
We said: Grimsby Town 1-0 Newport County
It is difficult to see Grimsby scoring more than once on Saturday, but they are likely to find the back of the net if they create a similar number of chances as they did against Salford. Though Newport County will take confidence from their hosts' inconsistencies at home in recent weeks, their own record on the road is alarming, and they may succumb to another defeat. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 62.84%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 15.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.34%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Grimsby Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Newport County |
62.84% ( 0.11) | 21.98% ( -0.01) | 15.17% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 45.65% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.97% ( -0.14) | 51.02% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.11% ( -0.12) | 72.88% ( 0.12) |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.32% ( -0.01) | 15.67% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.28% ( -0.02) | 44.72% ( 0.01) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.14% ( -0.23) | 45.86% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.39% ( -0.18) | 81.61% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 12.34% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 62.83% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.66% Total : 21.98% | 0-1 @ 5.6% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.31% Total : 15.17% |
