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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Grimsby Town

Newport
vs.
Grimsby Town

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Newport County and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 3-0 Newport
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We say: Newport County 1-1 Grimsby Town

Grimsby are yet to draw in the league this season, but we believe that run will come to an end on Saturday. Two of the last three League Two contests between these two sides have finished level, and we can see a tight match ending 1-1. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Newport County has a probability of 32.85% and a draw has a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Newport County win is 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.91%).

Result
Newport CountyDrawGrimsby Town
32.85% (4.931 4.93) 25.23% (0.365 0.37) 41.93% (-5.298 -5.3)
Both teams to score 56.19% (1.42 1.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.65% (0.669 0.67)47.35% (-0.671 -0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.43% (0.617 0.62)69.57% (-0.619 -0.62)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51% (3.716 3.72)27.48% (-3.719 -3.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.02% (4.561 4.56)62.98% (-4.563 -4.56)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (-2.123 -2.12)22.5% (2.121 2.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.93% (-3.269 -3.27)56.07% (3.267 3.27)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 32.85%
    Grimsby Town 41.93%
    Draw 25.22%
Newport CountyDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 7.99% (0.582 0.58)
2-1 @ 7.69% (0.834 0.83)
2-0 @ 5.16% (0.846 0.85)
3-1 @ 3.31% (0.65 0.65)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.352 0.35)
3-0 @ 2.22% (0.547 0.55)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.295 0.3)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.85%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.175 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.74% (0.282 0.28)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 9.23% (-0.885 -0.89)
1-2 @ 8.89% (-0.484 -0.48)
0-2 @ 6.88% (-1.166 -1.17)
1-3 @ 4.42% (-0.55 -0.55)
0-3 @ 3.42% (-0.845 -0.85)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.65% (-0.328 -0.33)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.421 -0.42)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 41.93%

Who will win Saturday's League Two clash between Newport and Grimsby Town?

Newport County
Draw
Grimsby Town
Newport County
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Grimsby Town
50.0%
2
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Grimsby Town
1-0
Newport
Rose (33')
Green (36'), Thompson (80')

Charsley (36'), Jephcott (54')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Newport
1-1
Grimsby Town
Bogle (72')
Bogle (90+4')
Rose (78')
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Newport
0-2
Grimsby Town

Bennett (22'), Evans (90+2')
Morris (63'), Clifton (83')
Kiernan (80'), Smith (88')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 28
Newport
1-0
Grimsby Town
Maynard (51')
Bennett (37')

Matete (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale159332316730
2Walsall1483327151227
3Notts County1576223131027
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster158342117427
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe147431713425
6MK Dons157352417724
7Grimsby Town158071925-624
8Gillingham157261612423
9Chesterfield1557328181022
10Bradford CityBradford156452016422
11BarrowBarrow156451612422
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
13Salford City155551417-320
14AFC Wimbledon126151810819
15Newport CountyNewport156181926-719
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham155371922-318
17Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
18Accrington StanleyAccrington144461822-416
19Bromley143651618-215
20Harrogate TownHarrogate154381221-915
21Colchester UnitedColchester142751721-413
22Swindon TownSwindon152671623-712
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1532101328-1511
24Morecambe152491426-1210


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