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Championship header 2

League Two
Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Newport County

Harrogate
1 - 0
Newport

Sims (40')
Daly (11')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Baker-Richardson (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Harrogate
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Bradford 3-1 Newport
Monday, October 7 at 8pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 1-1 Newport County

 With two relatively evenly-matched sides both fighting to get back to winning ways on Saturday, we anticipate a hard-fought encounter at the Exercise Stadium and cannot quite pick a winner, instead opting for what would be Newport's first league draw of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawNewport County
42.36% (0.114 0.11) 24.7% (0.029 0.03) 32.94% (-0.137 -0.14)
Both teams to score 58.05% (-0.147 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.05% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)44.95% (0.18 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.7% (-0.165 -0.16)67.3% (0.17100000000001 0.17)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.73% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)21.27% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.81% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)54.2% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73% (-0.166 -0.17)26.27% (0.172 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.62% (-0.225 -0.23)61.38% (0.232 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 42.36%
    Newport County 32.94%
    Draw 24.7%
Harrogate TownDrawNewport County
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.65% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.69% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 3.45% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.79%
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 42.36%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.59% (0.042 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.7%
1-2 @ 7.73% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.47% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.44% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 32.94%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Newport

Harrogate Town
55.0%
Draw
20.0%
Newport County
25.0%
20
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Harrogate
1-4
Newport
Thomson (78')
Falkingham (55')
Evans (31' pen.), Zanzala (33', 52'), Palmer-Houlden (70')
> Preview
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Newport
1-2
Harrogate
Evans (58')
Wildig (65'), Delaney (69')
Thomson (42'), O'Connor (52')
Ramsay (74'), Sivi (90+2')
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Newport
2-3
Harrogate
Bogle (3', 79')
Folarin (5'), Thomson (9'), Armstrong (83')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Harrogate
0-4
Newport
Bogle (4', 44'), Ramsay (9' og.), Nevers (22')
Drysdale (47'), Waite (51')
Jan 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Newport
4-0
Harrogate
Demetriou (8' pen.), Telford (43', 49'), Baker-Richardson (55')
Cooper (22'), Norman (47')

Falkingham (8'), Armstrong (20'), Diarra (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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