MX23RW : Friday, November 8 00:46:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Port Vale

Newport
1 - 4
Port Vale

Wildig (24')
Glennon (35'), Evans (51'), Jameson (54'), Wildig (85')
Brennan (59'), Jameson (67')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Stockley (6', 36'), Chislett (48'), Tolaj (54')
Cover (37'), Hackford (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Newport County and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Port Vale 2-2 Wolves U21s (5-4 pen.)
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Newport County 2-1 Port Vale

Newport appear to have a knack of picking up wins in the early stages of this season, and given they have two wins from two at Rodney Parade so far, we would expect them to keep up their home form and take all three points at the expense of a Port Vale side that come into this game winless in three league outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawPort Vale
32.42% (-0.696 -0.7) 26.18% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08) 41.39% (0.774 0.77)
Both teams to score 52.87% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.42% (0.145 0.14)51.58% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.62% (0.125 0.13)73.37% (-0.127 -0.13)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.15% (-0.38500000000001 -0.39)29.84% (0.384 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.06% (-0.47 -0.47)65.93% (0.47 0.47)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.37% (0.465 0.47)24.63% (-0.465 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.86% (0.645 0.64)59.14% (-0.646 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 32.42%
    Port Vale 41.39%
    Draw 26.18%
Newport CountyDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 8.89% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.37% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.17% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 32.42%
1-1 @ 12.45% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.35% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 10.3% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.73% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 7.22% (0.151 0.15)
1-3 @ 4.08% (0.097 0.1)
0-3 @ 3.37% (0.115 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.053 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.18% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 41.39%

How you voted: Newport vs Port Vale

Newport County
63.2%
Draw
15.8%
Port Vale
21.1%
38
Head to Head
May 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Port Vale
1-2
Newport
Garrity (51')
Martin (86')
Haynes (3'), Azaz (72')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 21
Newport
2-1
Port Vale
Telford (69'), Azaz (75')
Lewis (24'), Cooper (85')
Garrity (25')
Walker (8'), Pett (33'), Lucas (45'), Gibbons (90+6')
Jones (87')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 29
Port Vale
2-1
Newport
Conlon (12'), Rodney (75')
Joyce (43')
Scrimshaw (55')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 13
Newport
1-0
Port Vale
Ellison (90+6')
Cooper (30'), Demetriou (64')

(5'), Worrall (25'), (69'), Montano (74')
Legge (68')
Apr 18, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Bengals
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!