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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Newport County has a probability of 31.97% and a draw has a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Newport County win is 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.96%).
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Newport County |
40.58% ( 1.38) | 27.45% ( -0.05) | 31.97% ( -1.33) |
Both teams to score 48.83% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.32% ( -0.08) | 56.68% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.36% ( -0.07) | 77.64% ( 0.07) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.6% ( 0.73) | 27.4% ( -0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.13% ( 0.94) | 62.88% ( -0.94) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.26% ( -0.96) | 32.75% ( 0.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.7% ( -1.08) | 69.3% ( 1.08) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Newport County |
1-0 @ 11.61% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.94% Total : 40.58% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.44% | 0-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.6% Total : 31.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |