MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 02:38:30| >> :120:16342:16342:
Europa League | League Stage
Nov 7, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Aspmyra Stadion
Qarabag

Bodo/Glimt
vs.
Qarabag

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Bodo/Glimt and Qarabag FK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Molde 3-3 Bodo/Glimt
Sunday, November 3 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Qarabag 0-3 Ajax
Thursday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We say: Bodo/Glimt 2-0 Qarabag FK

With 25 wins in their last 31 home games, Bodo/Glimt are near-invincible in the Arctic Circle in Europe, while Qarabag are often poor travellers and have made a very disappointing start to their continental campaign. One positive facet for the away side is that they are unbeaten in five previous meetings with Norwegian sides, and drew 2-2 with Molde on their last visit to the country a year ago, however this is a much tougher venue, and a win is needed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 52.77%. A win for Qarabag FK has a probability of 25.86% and a draw has a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (6.78%) and 1-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win is 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.18%).

Result
Bodo/GlimtDrawQarabag FK
52.77% (-4.477 -4.48) 21.36% (1.245 1.25) 25.86% (3.235 3.24)
Both teams to score 65.23% (-0.708 -0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.56% (-2.565 -2.57)33.44% (2.567 2.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.77% (-2.989 -2.99)55.23% (2.992 2.99)
Bodo/Glimt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.05% (-2.091 -2.09)12.95% (2.093 2.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.57% (-4.457 -4.46)39.43% (4.461 4.46)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.94% (0.967 0.97)25.06% (-0.962 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.26% (1.319 1.32)59.74% (-1.316 -1.32)
Score Analysis
    Bodo/Glimt 52.77%
    Qarabag FK 25.86%
    Draw 21.36%
Bodo/GlimtDrawQarabag FK
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.78% (-0.185 -0.19)
1-0 @ 6.63% (0.36 0.36)
3-1 @ 6.39% (-0.547 -0.55)
3-0 @ 4.62% (-0.536 -0.54)
3-2 @ 4.42% (-0.247 -0.25)
4-1 @ 3.27% (-0.586 -0.59)
4-0 @ 2.36% (-0.501 -0.5)
4-2 @ 2.26% (-0.332 -0.33)
5-1 @ 1.34% (-0.375 -0.38)
4-3 @ 1.04% (-0.12 -0.12)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.306 -0.31)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.227 -0.23)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 52.77%
1-1 @ 9.18% (0.736 0.74)
2-2 @ 6.49% (0.182 0.18)
0-0 @ 3.25% (0.42 0.42)
3-3 @ 2.04% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 21.36%
1-2 @ 6.35% (0.669 0.67)
0-1 @ 4.49% (0.688 0.69)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.548 0.55)
2-3 @ 3% (0.164 0.16)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.38 0.38)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.285 0.29)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.083 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.156 0.16)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 25.86%

Who will win Thursday's Europa League clash between Bodo/Glimt and Qarabag?

Bodo/Glimt
Draw
Qarabag FK
Bodo/Glimt
75.0%
Draw
17.5%
Qarabag FK
7.5%
40
rhs 2.0
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