League Two

League Two | Gameweek 45

May 2, 2022 at 3pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
1 - 2
Newport

Garrity (51')
Martin (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Haynes (3'), Azaz (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Port Vale and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

Last Six:

Last Game: Mansfield 0-3 Port Vale
Saturday, May 28 at 4pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Northampton Town	46	22	80
5	Port Vale	46	21	78
6	Swindon Town	46	23	77

Newport County

Last Six:

Last Game: Newport 0-2 Rochdale
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Salford City	46	14	70
11	Newport County	46	9	69
12	Crawley Town	46	-10	61

We said: Port Vale 2-1 Newport County

Although Port Vale have lost their last two matches, we think that the possibility of moving back into the top three will drive them to a narrow victory over a Newport side who have won just one of their last seven games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Newport County
42.82%	27.15%	30.02%

Both teams to score 48.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.83%

56.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.77%

77.23%

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.03%

25.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.02%

60.98%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.12%

33.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.45%

70.55%

Score Analysis

Port Vale 42.82%

Newport County 30.02%

Draw 27.14%

Port Vale	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 11.86% 2-1 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 8% 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-0 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.19% Total : 42.82%	1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 8.8% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.14%	0-1 @ 9.52% 1-2 @ 6.95% 0-2 @ 5.15% 1-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.35% Total : 30.02%