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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
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MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Exeter City
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Port Vale

Exeter
0 - 1
Port Vale


Stubbs (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wilson (36')
Martin (43'), Wilson (45+1'), Stone (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Exeter City and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Exeter City 2-1 Port Vale

This encounter is likely to be a close affair with both teams still fighting for something on the final day of the campaign, but home advantage and a chance to clinch the league title should be enough motivation to push the home side over the line. Port Vale's poor run is concerning, and Exeter are expected to pounce on that as an opportunity to finish this season in the best way possible. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 51.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 22.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawPort Vale
51.39%25.81%22.81%
Both teams to score 47.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.35%55.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.2%76.8%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.29%21.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.13%54.87%
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.28%39.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.61%76.39%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 51.38%
    Port Vale 22.81%
    Draw 25.8%
Exeter CityDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 13.17%
2-0 @ 10.05%
2-1 @ 9.29%
3-0 @ 5.12%
3-1 @ 4.73%
3-2 @ 2.18%
4-0 @ 1.96%
4-1 @ 1.81%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 51.38%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 8.62%
2-2 @ 4.29%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 7.96%
1-2 @ 5.62%
0-2 @ 3.68%
1-3 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.32%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 22.81%

How you voted: Exeter vs Port Vale

Exeter City
72.0%
Draw
12.0%
Port Vale
16.0%
25
Head to Head
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Port Vale
3-1
Exeter
Bennett (50' pen., 70'), Legge (64')
Montano (30')
Ajose (22')
Dickenson (49')
Sep 17, 2019 7.45pm
Exeter
2-0
Port Vale
Bowman (81'), Martin (89')

Smith (31'), Taylor (33'), Crookes (36'), Worrall (76')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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