League Two

League Two | Gameweek 33

Apr 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
2 - 1
Barrow

Phillips (35'), Jay (78')
Sweeney (31'), Brown (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dawson (11' og.)
Brown (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Exeter City and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

Last Six:

Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Forest Green Rovers	46	31	84
2	Exeter City	46	24	84
3	Bristol Rovers	46	22	80

Barrow

Last Six:

Last Game: Barrow 1-3 Northampton
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
21	Stevenage	46	-23	47
22	Barrow	46	-13	44
23	Oldham Athletic	46	-29	38

We said: Exeter City 2-0 Barrow

Barrow can afford to play without fear in their final few games of the season and have certainly turned up the heat in recent weeks, but performances away from home is still a sticky point for the visitors. Meanwhile, Exeter continue to dominate on their own turf and will be determined to complete the job before meeting Northampton, and we expect the promotion party to begin on Tuesday night as Exeter claim the three points necessary to join Forest Green in League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 16.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.11%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Barrow
60.28%	23.21%	16.51%

Both teams to score 44.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.47%

53.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.96%

75.04%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.57%

17.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.13%

47.87%

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.44%

45.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.62%

81.37%

Score Analysis

Exeter City 60.26%

Barrow 16.51%

Draw 23.21%

Exeter City	Draw	Barrow
1-0 @ 13.86% 2-0 @ 12.11% 2-1 @ 9.53% 3-0 @ 7.06% 3-1 @ 5.55% 4-0 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 2.18% 5-0 @ 1.08% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.44% Total : 60.26%	1-1 @ 10.9% 0-0 @ 7.94% 2-2 @ 3.75% Other @ 0.62% Total : 23.21%	0-1 @ 6.24% 1-2 @ 4.29% 0-2 @ 2.45% 1-3 @ 1.12% 2-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.42% Total : 16.51%