League Two

League Two | Gameweek 44

Apr 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
1 - 2
Colchester

Telford (40')
Dolan (38'), Lewis (45+2'), Bennett (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Akinde (68'), Chilvers (77')
Wiredu (45+2'), Huws (66'), Skuse (89'), George (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Newport County and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

Last Six:

Last Game: Newport 0-2 Rochdale
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Salford City	46	14	70
11	Newport County	46	9	69
12	Crawley Town	46	-10	61

Colchester United

Last Six:

Last Game: Hartlepool 0-2 Colchester
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Bradford City	46	-2	58
15	Colchester United	46	-12	55
16	Walsall	46	-13	54

We said: Newport County 2-0 Colchester United

There will be some who regard this contest as a 50-50 match given Colchester's recent efforts to avoid relegation. However, with the pressure on Newport to play on the front foot, we feel that the home side will come through with the win, possibly helped by an early goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 51.63%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Colchester United
51.63%	24.03%	24.34%

Both teams to score 54.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.77%

47.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.54%

69.46%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.71%

18.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.64%

49.36%

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.35%

33.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.7%

70.3%

Score Analysis

Newport County 51.63%

Colchester United 24.34%

Draw 24.02%

Newport County	Draw	Colchester United
1-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 9.67% 2-0 @ 8.88% 3-1 @ 5.48% 3-0 @ 5.03% 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 2.33% 4-0 @ 2.14% 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.4% Total : 51.63%	1-1 @ 11.38% 0-0 @ 6.15% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.02%	0-1 @ 6.7% 1-2 @ 6.2% 0-2 @ 3.65% 1-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.91% 0-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.3% Total : 24.34%