League Two | Gameweek 19
Nov 26, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Colchester Community Stadium
Colchester1 - 1Newport
We said: Colchester United 1-1 Newport County
With their recent form not matching up with their respective league positions, this is a difficult match to call. County are likely to show more ambition in the final third, but we are backing this contest to end in a low-scoring draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 47.54%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 24.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.72%) and 1-2 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Colchester United win it was 1-0 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Newport County |
| 24.65% | 27.81% | 47.54% |
| Both teams to score 43.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
