FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 6, 2021 at 3pm UK

Mazuma Stadium

Morecambe
1 - 0
Newport

Wildig (68')
Wootton (12')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Morecambe and Newport County.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Newport County
32.72%	25.87%	41.41%

Both teams to score 53.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.81%

50.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.85%

72.15%

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.04%

28.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.15%

64.85%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76%

24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.75%

58.25%

Score Analysis

Morecambe 32.72%

Newport County 41.41%

Draw 25.87%

Morecambe	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 8.61% 2-1 @ 7.62% 2-0 @ 5.34% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.25% 3-0 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.58% Total : 32.72%	1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 6.95% 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.87%	0-1 @ 9.92% 1-2 @ 8.77% 0-2 @ 7.08% 1-3 @ 4.17% 0-3 @ 3.37% 2-3 @ 2.59% 1-4 @ 1.49% 0-4 @ 1.2% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.91% Total : 41.41%