Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 49.25%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 24.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 1-0 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.